John Ermisch

John Ermisch

T: 01865 281921

E: Email

Nuffield College

Download CV

John Ermisch

Emeritus Professor of Family Demography


John Ermisch's research is concerned with the structure and dynamics of families and their interaction with wider society. His research has studied the allocation of resources within the family, the transmission of advantage across generations, non-marital childbearing, the interaction of child support and non-resident fathers' contact with their children, the impact of family ties on trust in strangers and the effect of fertility expectations on residential mobility. Recent work has focused on the geographic proximity of parents to children and its relation to the migration patterns of the child generation and in-kind help from them to parents, as well as the reproduction of educational attainments across generations.


Recent Research publications

From Parents to Children: The Intergenerational Transmission of Advantage
John Ermisch, Markus Jantti and Tim Smeeding, 2012
New York: Russell Sage Foundation

An Economic Analysis of the Family
John Ermisch, 2003 (paperback 2016)
Princeton University Press


[Preprint] Breen, R., & Ermisch, J. (2021, June 4). Instrumental Variable Estimation in Demographic Studies: The LATE interpretation of the IV estimator with heterogenous effects. DOI: 10.31235/

2021. (with Richard Breen) Using Inverse Probability Weighting to Address Post-Outcome Collider Bias, Sociological Methods & Research. DOI: 10.1177/00491241211043131.

2021. English fertility heads south: Understanding the recent decline. Demographic Research, 45:903-916.

2021. (with Richard Breen) The distributional impact of Covid-19: Geographic variation in mortality in England. Demographic Research, 44:397-414.  

2021. (with many authors) Estimating the burden of COVID-19 pandemic on mortality, life expectancy and lifespan inequality in England and Wales: A population-level analysis. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health. DOI:10.1136/jech-2020-215505.

2021. (with Richard Breen) Sibling Models, Categorical Outcomes, and the Intra-Class Correlation. European Sociological Review. DOI: 10.1093/esr/jcaa057.

2019. (with Richard Breen and Satu Helske) “Educational Reproduction in Europe: A Descriptive Account. Demographic Research, 41:1373-1400 

2019. (with Tak Wing Chan and Rob Gruijters) "The Dynamics of Income Inequality: The Case of China in a Comparative Perspective.  European Sociological Review, DOI: 10.1093/esr/jcz016.

2018. (with Clara Mulder) “Migration versus immobility,and ties to parents” European Journal of Population.

2018. (with Rob Gruijters) "Patrilocal, Matrilocal or Neolocal? Intergenerational Proximity of Married Couples in China." Journal of Marriage and Family, DOI:10.1111/jomf.12538.

2017. (with Richard Breen) “Educational reproduction in Great Britain: A prospective approach,” European Sociological 33(4): 590–603.

2016. (with Fiona Steele) “Fertility expectations and residential mobility in Britain,” Demographic Research, 35(article 54): 1561-1584. DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.54

2016. (with D.Gambetta) “Income and trustworthiness,” Sociological Science, 3: 710-729. DOI:10.15195/v3.a30

2015. (with T.W. Chan) “Proximity of couples to parents: influences of gender, labor market and family,” Demography 52(2): 379-399, 2015.

2015. (with T.W. Chan) “Residential proximity of parents and their adult offspring in the United Kingdom, 2009-10,” Population Studies 69(3):355-372.

2015. (with A. Janus) “Who Pays for Care?: A Study of Nationally Representative Data on Disabled Older Americans, ” BioMedCentral Health Services Research, 15:301 DOI 10.1186/s12913-015-0978-x.

2014. “Parents’ health and children’s help,” Advances in Life Course Research, 22:15-26. DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2014.09.001

2013. (with Marco Francesconi)  “The effect of parental employment on child schooling,” Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 28, no 5, pp. 796–822.

2012. (with Emilia Del Bono and Marco Francesconi) “ Intrafamily Resource Allocations: A Dynamic Structural Model of Birth Weight,” Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 30, no, 3, pp. 657-706. 

Working Papers

British Fertility Heads South: Understanding the recent decline, May 2021

Further Publications